Two-Minute Challenge - One Die, Six Rolls

November 24, 2020

Warning: Spoilers Follow The Question

If you roll a single die six times, what is the probability of a number being rolled more than once?

Answer


There are six sides to a die, each side representing a unique number. A series of six rolls where no number is repeated could be

1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

or

5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 6

In fact there are 6! permutations of roll sequences where no number is repeated. And, there are 666^{6} possible roll sequences including ones with no repeats and ones with them. With this we can calculate the probability of rolling a sequence with no repeats:

P(no repeats)=6!660.0154P(no \ repeats) = \frac{6!}{6^{6}} \approx 0.0154

This means the probability of a repeated number in a sequence of six rolls is

P(repeat)=16!660.9846P(repeat) = 1 - \frac{6!}{6^{6}} \approx 0.9846